Category Archives: Sports

Sports Betting Strategies

online betting siteThe following concepts represent some of the most lucrative historical betting trends and are the same tools used by sharp bettors to turn consistent profits.

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Betting Against the Public

Betting Against the Public is one of the most popular and simplest methods used by Sports Insights to maximize value in the sports betting marketplace.

Reverse-Line Movement

We’ll show how analyzing betting trends data and line movement can help you identify which games the sharp money (wagers placed by sharps, wiseguys or betting syndicates) is taking.

Major Line Moves

Our major line move analysis explains how to interpret line moves across the sports betting marketplace in order to find value.

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Shading Sports Betting Lines

This article explains how sportsbooks shade their lines to exploit human tendencies and how you can take advantage by using our Betting Against the Public strategy.

Shopping for the Best Line

Shopping for the best possible number is an easy way to improve your winning percentage over the course of an entire season.

The Importance of Units Won

Understanding the importance of units won vs. winning percentage will help you evaluate the true worth of any sports betting system.

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Winning at Sports Betting

sports betting site

Here there are the tips for Winning at Sports Betting

Line Shopping and Steam Chasing

Line shopping is an easy way to gain an edge. This method involves looking for sharp, trusted lines (usually from well respected, liquid books) and then finding other sites that are slow to update their lines. This can happen a lot in the last hour before game time. One book may list a team at -3 and then all of the sudden the line starts dropping, first to 2.5 and then all the way down to 2 and finally 1.5. However, while the line is at -2.5 at one book, another may still have -3. This would provide a great opportunity to take the underdog and “chase the steam.”

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Tailing a Respected Capper

Sometimes, you will find a handicapper who sells or gives away picks who has a solid track record. There are a few reputable sites that offer picks for sale that you can use to profit. Being early is key here, as this can be where the “steam” mentioned above often originates. If a big time syndicate is pounding a line into shape, you want to be in as early as possible, before books catch on and adjust.

Bonus Chasing

Bonuses are in shorter supply than in years past, but there are still good values to be found here. Sportsbooks often offer a “first time deposit” bonus or a reload bonus for players who are depositing. This can be a goldmine when played correctly. It is good to always try and max out the bonus while it is available. So if a book offers a reload bonus of 20% up to a $2000 deposit, it is in your best interest to deposit the full amount and take advantage of the $400 bonus. Signing up for a new book just to get the bonus is often a good play as well. Hunt online for books, talk to your friends, and search forums to find the best bonuses available. Be especially aware of special bonuses during busy times such as the NFL Playoffs or big soccer betting events such as the World Cup, Euros or even the Champions League finals, since books will be highly competitive and vying for your action.

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Do It Yourself

You can also “do it yourself” and become a handicapper. However, most, if not all, information that you come up with (widely available information) is already priced into the lines. So, it doesn’t do you much good to look up the weather forecast or the coaches’ records on primetime games or other stats such as rushing yards or goals scored. The bookies, and other smart handicappers, have already pored over all this information and it has been accounted for. But if you are a computer whiz, or good with numbers, you may be able to develop a computer program to crunch tons of numbers in order to come up with an edge. A tip here: the smaller the market, the less attention paid to it, by bookies and other gamblers. So you may have a better shot at finding an edge in a smaller sport or market such as certain props.

Become the Bookie/Bet on an Exchange

Exchange betting is becoming more and more popular nowadays, with the advent of the internet and online books over a decade ago. This can allow you to effectively “become the bookie” and offer other gamblers odds on a certain outcome. Even when taking into account the house commission, this can still prove very profitable.

Let’s look at an example now.

Respected sportsbook A has a MLB baseball game listed as

Team A -130
Team B +110

You are browsing your favorite exchange and see the best available offer at

Team A -145
Team B +100

You decide to put in an offer and put up $105 to win $100 and pick Team B to win. Now the exchange will update to show

Team A -145
Team B +105

Someone decides to take your offer and bets the full $100 to win $105. Even taking into account the house’s cut (2% of all winning bets), you are still in good shape and better off than taking this bet at the well respected Book A.

Getting Paid

Of course, if you win at sports betting, it is no good unless you ultimately get paid. Make sure you bet with highly respected books for the most part, but don’t be afraid to take a shot at a smaller, up and coming book. Read up online about the book and find out what others are saying. Try the live chat and see what withdrawal options they have. Maybe start off with a small deposit and then withdraw after a few weeks and see how they treat you. If you are getting endless emails and vague answers, it might be best to avoid this book. Initiating a cashout during peak times (NCAA March Madness, Super Bowl, World Cup) might be a good idea, since the books will probably be flush with cash and able to pay to keep the business going.

Things to Avoid

Probably the most important aspect of winning at sports betting is knowing what to avoid. There is a myriad of things to avoid when betting sports. For example, try to avoid paying -110 when -105 is easily available somewhere else. Don’t bet more than normal because you’re stuck for the day/week/month/year. Don’t bet more because the game is on TV. Take any picks with a grain of salt. Most picks, especially picks that are given away, are worth their weight in gold, so 0. Occasionally you’ll find someone worth following, but chances are they are just trying to sucker you in to purchase future “locks” with the promise of a free half-season if they happen to lose.

Avoid betting on your hometown team if it becomes a big deal if you lose. What I mean is that it’s fine to bet on your hometown team, but not if a loss will cause you to automatically bet bigger and bigger on later games that day. Some fans become so emotionally invested that it is best to just watch the game and avoid making a bet. Another solid reason to avoid this is because most local bookies will bump the lines to account for heavy action on the hometown team, giving you a worse value.

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NHL Live betting

online betting siteFor every NHL game, once the action is live, bettors can place the following bets during intermissions:

For all 1st and 2nd period intermissions:

  • One handicap line
  • One money line
  • One total

We will not offer live odds after the third period in tied games, and there is no offering between OT (Over Time) and shootout.

For selected high profile games, especially so during the playoffs, we may also offer up to three alternate handicaps and totals, giving you even greater options in-play.

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As with all of the odds offered at Pinnacle Sports the margins are extremely competitive at 4%, which in American odds is 16 cent, or -108/-108. You will do well to find value like this anywhere else.

The limits are also what you have come to expect from Pinnacle Sports and will generally be as follows, though they vary by game, and may increase during the Playoffs:

  • Handicap $1,500 or equivalent in your currency
  • Money Line $3,000
  • Total $1,500

NHL Live betting strategy

Betting on an NHL game as it progresses can simply add an extra interest to watching the action unfold. Ice hockey is fast, furious and adrenalin packed, so what better way to match that excitement than by trying to interpret the ebb-and-flow of the game with a live bet.

Your basis for making a pre-game bet – such as tactics, formation & form – can quickly unravel once a game begins to unfold, so live betting enables you to wait to confirm your pre-game ideas about how things will pan out.

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As well as providing an alternative to pre-game betting, Live NHL betting can also provide a compliment. Should you bet pre-game on the Leafs to win in regular time against the Kings, and they take a 2-0 lead in the first period, you can hedge this bet using updated intermission odds by taking the expanded price on the Kings. This kind of basic hedging can work across handicaps, money lines and totals.

Understanding team mentality is vital for live NHL betting. For instance a team trailing by one goal towards the end of the game may pull their goalie and replace him with an additional attacker. However, this often leads to the winning team scoring again, rather than an equalising goal, which should interest bettors betting on games with -1.5 handicaps during the second intermission of close matches.

For more expert bettors Live NHL odds can enable correlated betting based on perceived relationships between the three main markets offered.

Hopefully you have read enough to encourage you to bet the next NHL action live

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Straight Wagers Explained

online betting siteA point spread is installed for game that tabs the favorite as well as the underdog in a particular match up. The favorite gives points, while the underdog receives points on the betting line. This handicap is installed based on what oddsmakers believe will make it an even match up. The bet is placed on which team a bettor believes will cover the line. The bet is won by picking the correct team that wins against the spread. The underdog does not necessarily have to win the game outright to cover the installed spread for them as the favorite can win the game but still not cover the spread. Spreads go strictly by margin of victory/defeat.

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he money line and and the point spread aren’t that dissimilar from each other. There is a favorite, and an underdog set in the match up. But the big difference is that there is no point spread installed for either team. The bet is placed on which team that is believed to win the game straight up with no spread. Yes, this sounds easier, but the payouts are a lot different than with a point spread. The payout on a favorite is typically very low, with much more required to risk to profit. The opposite is true for the underdog, where the payout can be much higher because they are not favored to win. A money line is set on a $100 parameter.

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Every match up for a game will typically have three basic straight wagers, of which two we’ve discussed. A point spread, and a money line are two of them. The third is a game total. The game total is set for the two teams combined points, runs, or goals in the match up. From there, a bet can be placed on whether the game total will go over that mark, or go under that mark. Betting on game totals is particularly attractive because you do not need to root for one team or the other but rather for offense or for defense. If you wager the over, you don’t care who wins as long as they are scoring a lot of points & the opposite can be said for the under.

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The best live football betting strategies

sports betting siteMatch Betting

The most-simple form of in-play betting. Fancy your side to win on the road this weekend but don’t think much of their pre-match price? Patience is a virtue. Hold your nerve with the bookies and wait it out. The longer your team stays at 0-0, struggling to break through the opposition defence, the more they will drift in the market. Confidence and timing are key here. If you keep faith in the fact that your team will score and win, wait until they ease to a price more in-line with your thinking and then get on. If you’re really confident you could even lump on your side to win the match despite going a goal behind. If you’re boys start slow and find themselves 1-0 down after 10 minutes, there’s still plenty of time to claw it back. Arsenal start week eight in the Premier League an unappealing 1/3 with Paddy Power vs Hull but it pays to remember that The Gunners were 2-0 down after eight minutes when the sides last met before coming back to take a dramatic 3-2 FA Cup win.

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Match Corners

Get a feel for the game and then make your bets. Is the match swinging from end-to-end? Are the hosts battering down on the goal of their unwelcome visitors or is the tie bogged down in midfield with neither side able to force things their way? It’s worth watching how the match has started and figuring out how it’ll shape the rest of play. Chelsea took a famous 2-0 win over Arsenal in week seven of the Premier League but much of the battle took place in no-mans-land meaning the game produced just three shots on target, all from The Blues. That sort of tussle would have me reaching for the corners market, less goalmouth action means less corners and under 10 in the game would have been a bet pretty early on, we ended up with just four. If it’s a midfield battle, back under a certain amount of corners and you’ll be happy to watch the sides cancel each other out.

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Booking

Whether it’s a relegation dog fight or derby at the top of the league, passions are sure to be running high when there’s more than just three points at stake. The first Merseyside Derby of 2014/15 ended 1-1 at Anfield thanks to goals from Gerrard and Jagielka, not much good if you came down either side of the fence pre-match. It’s always worth playing the bookings in games like this however as the referee will be all too aware of the rivalry and want to stamp his authority all over the fixture. Have a look through the line-ups and players preparing for kick-off. Is this a derby debut for anyone or are there players in the away dressing room looking a tad nervous and caught up in the occasion? Back them to be the first player booked, or back his employers to be the first team booked. The man in the middle won’t stand for too much so if you see a player push his luck early, his card will be marked, one way or another. An example of this came in the Merseyside Derby where former England skipper Gareth Barry went into the book after just 2 minutes. I’d put good money on that not being the last in live play either.

Under/Over Goals

Another market where it pays to have your trigger finger poised and ready for action. Has the game started at a nervous pace with both teams more worried about conceding than scoring themselves? Have a play on the under goals market, for example under 2.5 goals. You’ll need to have your senses about you when playing this market however as the closer the game gets to full-time, the smaller the odds will become. Watch the first 10 minutes with interest and make your play judging on how things are shaping up.

Asian Handicap

This is a valuable market but one you must fully understand before placing your bets, get it wrong and see how much sympathy you’ll get from bookmakers, and rightly so I suppose. Asian Handicap is about forgetting what has happened so far in the game and making your call on what is about to happen. If your team are 3-0 up and you think it’s free money to back them on the Asian Handicap -0.5, think again! The bet will be settled as if the game was level at the time of you having your say and the handicap re-sets after every goal scored. So if you’re team are 3-0 up after 70 minutes there’s every chance they’ll make a few changes to safeguard the points and avoid injuries, whereas if they are 3-0 up after 20 minutes, I’d say there’s more goals to come. Backing your side -0.5 means they will still have to score at least one more goal during the match.

Bet Smart

Betting is full of fads but it’s testament to in-play betting that it’s as popular now as it was when it was first announced, perhaps more so, punters just love it. However with the game in a frenzy and prices constantly updating across the board in front of your very eyes, it’s easy to get caught up in the moment! Play safe, understand the market you’re going to be betting on and keep your stakes in-line with what you would stick to before kick-off. In-play betting is all about having confidence, nerves of steel and being in the right place at the right time. Bookies still want most things on their own terms so will be watching the game on a feed which is probably a second or two quicker than your TV at home and will suspend betting when needed. If your team get a penalty you won’t be able to jump on first goal scorer, that’s for sure. They will have around an eight second time delay on you placing a bet and it being accepted, so the quicker you act the more chance you have of getting on.

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Detroit Pistons at Philadelphia 76ers

sports betting siteThe Detroit Pistons and the Philadelphia 76ers meet for the fourth and final time this season.
The Detroit Pistons were able to snap an ugly 10-game skid last night with an impressive 105-95 win over the Grizzlies despite playing without the injured Greg Monroe. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope led the scoring with 24 points while Andre Drummond added 16 points and 16 rebounds, but the night belonged to Reggie Jackson who broke out with 23 points and a career-high 20 assists. As a team, the Pistons were able to dominated the second half by 66-41, erasing a 15-point half time deficit and improve to 24-43 on the season.

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the Philadelphia 76ers have lost 12 of their last 15 and are coming off a 108-89 loss to the Celtics. Nerlens Noel continued his strong form with a team-high 18 points, Ish Smith added 16 points and Hollis Thompson added 13 points but the Sixers were simply blown out of the water right from tipoff as they fell behind by 38-18 after the first quarter and could never threaten to come back. The Sixers have actually been pretty competitive lately, winning two of their last five and staying within single digits in the other two losses, but this was a loss cause before halftime.
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Philadelphia has won two of three matchups with Detroit, posting its best defensive effort this season in an 89-69 victory in the most recent meeting Jan. 28.

The Pistons shot 30.7 percent in that contest, their worst since hitting 30.5 against Indiana on Feb. 15, 2001.

Injuries
Greg Monroe (knee) sat out Tuesday’s game but is expected to face the Sixers.

Quincy Miller (ankle) is day to day.

Brandon Jennings (Achilles) is out indefinitely.

Joel Embiid (foot) and Tony Wroten (knee) are out indefinitely for the Sixers.

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San Antonio Spurs at New York Knicks

San Antonio SpursEven without the veteran swingman, they should have more than enough Tuesday night to handle the woeful New York Knicks, whom they already defeated this season despite being very short-handed.

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San Antonio went 5-1 on a recent homestand, which culminated with Sunday’s 123-97 blowout of the Minnesota Timberwolves. Kawhi Leonard led eight players in double figures with 15 points, while Danny Green and Marco Belinelli scored 13 points apiece.
San Antonio wound up with a season-high 38 assists on 49 baskets and made 58.3 percent for the game. Tiago Splitter (12), Tony Parker (11), Ginobili (11), Tim Duncan (10) and Cory Joseph (10) rounded out the double-digit scorers for the Spurs, who rebounded from an overtime loss versus Cleveland to win for the seventh time in the past eight tries.

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New York (13-53), however, owns the league’s worst record and has lost 15 of 18, averaging 91.2 points on 40.8 percent shooting in that span. The Knicks need to win half of their final 16 games to avoid finishing with the fewest victories in franchise history, set by the 1962-63 team that went 21-59.

The Knicks dropped a 102-89 decision against the Phoenix Suns on Sunday and were led by Alexey Shved and Andrea Bargnani. Both foreign players scored 18 points and Lance Thomas added 144 for the Knicks, who shot a respectable 43.8 percent and committed 13 turnovers.
The Knicks visited San Antonio on Dec. 10 and left with a 109-95 defeat, as Belinelli paced the hosts with 22 points. Hardaway had 23 points in that one for New York, which is 6-16 in the past 22 games in this series.

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Portland Trail Blazers at Washington Wizards

sports betting siteThe Blazers head to Washington D.C. tonight to take on the Wizards in the second half of a road back-to-back. Portland dispatched the Raptors last night, 113-97.

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The Trail Blazers will visit the Wizards in what should be a fun matchup between two of the more exciting teams in the NBA. Portland is currently in third in the Western Conference and playing some of its best ball of the season, winning eight of its last 10. Washington is reeling a little bit winning just five of its last 10. Both of these teams are expected playoff teams, so fans should be in for a hard-fought game.

Portland is playing the second of a five-game road trip. It is coming off of two of its best performances of the season, shooting 55 percent from the field and 49 percent from 3-point range while averaging 115.5 PPG. Games like this are making Portland look like a championship contender. It has won three straight since losing Wesley Matthews for the season and will look to make it four against the Wizards.

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Washington has struggled as of late after a hot start to the season. Beal is finally back healthy, and Washington is looking to catch stride the last quarter of the season and grab home-court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. Although the Wizards have been playing poorly, they did win their last three by an average of almost 21 PPG. This is the last game of their homestand before a four-game Western Conference road trip, so they’ll want to get some momentum in front of their fans vs. Portland.

Portland defeated Washington, 103-96, on Jan. 24 in Rip City and was led by Aldridge’s 26 points and nine rebounds. Wall recorded 25 points in that one for the Wizards, who have lost two in a row in this series after winning three straight.

Washington is 4-1 in the last five meetings with Portland in DC.

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Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks

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The Dallas Mavericks play host to the Los Angeles Clippers tonight at the American Airlines Center.
After losing in disappointing fashion to begin their five-game homestand, the Dallas Mavericks admittedly need to make adjustments on the court in order to get back to playing at a high level.

Chandler Parsons returned to the court and led the way with 18 points, Monta Ellis had 17 while Amar’e Stoudemire added 15, but the Mavs were just horrible on defense. On too many possessions, the Cavaliers were able to swing the ball and find the open shooter uncontested on the perimeter and it really burned the Mavs as the Cavs sunk 15 of 32 threes. After the loss, Stoudemire publicly called out his teammates about their lack of effort, so expect an improved level of intensity tonight.

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The Los Angeles Clippers have won five of their last seven overall and they’ll be looking for a third straight win after earning a marquee 120-108 win over the Thunder on Wednesday. Chris Paul had a monster game of 33 points and nine assists while playing great defense on Russell Westbrook, while JJ Redick added 25 points and Matt Barnes had 22 as the Clippers dominated the red-hot Thunder in their own building. As a team, the Clippers got off to a sensational start and poured on 100 points after three quarters thanks to 15 of 30 shooting from the three-point line, but the best part was that they were able to stifle the Thunder’s Westbrook, forcing him into 10 turnovers. With the win, LA improved to 42-23 on the season and 18-14 on the road which keeps them climbing up the Western standings.

The Clippers, who have won eight of 10 in the series, haven’t swept the Mavericks since taking all four meetings in 1993-94. They won 120-100 in Los Angeles on Jan. 10 and 115-98 on the road on Feb. 9.

They are also seeking a fourth straight victory in Dallas for the first time since a five-game winning streak there from March 18, 1992-March 8, 1994.

 

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From Home Games To Games Online

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American Betting Odds

American odds have become incredibly commonplace, despite the fact that they are not as easy to read as other formats. As an example, American Odds read like this:

Odds To Win Super Bowl:

  • Team A: -150
  • Team B: +200
  • Team C: +600
  • Team D: +1000

With American odds, the number represented is how much you have to bet to win $100. If the number is preceded with a “+” sign, then you would risk less than $100 to win a wager worth $100. And, the opposite is true when the number is preceded with a “-” where the bettor would have to risk more than $100 just to win $100 of the wager.

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In the example above, you can see that Team A has the lowest number of the group and are considered to be the favorite to win this bet. If you wagered on Team A to win the Super Bowl and they end up winning, you are going to need to risk more than $100 to win $100 as indicated by the “-” symbol preceding the payouts. In this particular example, a bettor would need to wager $150 to win $100.

On the opposite side of that, the other 3 teams in contention all pay better than 1 to 1 odds (risk less than $100 to win $100). Team B is at +200: risk $50 to win $100. Team C is at +600: risk $16.67 to win $100. Team D is at +1000: risk $10 to win $100.

Fractional Odds

Fractional betting odds are the easiest to understand. Just about every single sportsbook that caters to Americans has the option available for fractional odds. And, while they may seem daunting at first, you don’t really need to understand complex fractions in order to utilize these odds. Lets look at an example:

Odds To Win Fight:

  • Fighter A: 4/7
  • Fighter B: 3/2

In order to best understand these lines, you first need to look at the ratio to 1. In the example above, 4/7 odds is less than 1 and the opposite can be said for the other side as 3/2 is more than 1. Once you have determined this, you can figure out the favorite.

To figure out which side is favored, you simply need to figure out which is the lower number. In this case, Fighter A is at 4/7 odds which is less than 1 and Fighter B is at 3/2 odds which is more than 1. Fighter A’s wager is the clear favorite as it is the lower number.

So, how do you figure out what these pay? Again, we refer back to 4/7 being less than 1, and 3/2 being more than 1.

Anytime fractional odds are displayed at a value of less than 1, the bettor must risk more than they intend to win if the wager is a winner. And, the opposite can be said for if a fractional value is more than 1… that bet will pay more than what is risked.

As we said before, 4/7 odds are less than 1 so in this case, the bettor must risk $7 to win $4 from the wager. Then, 3/2 are more than 1 so when risking $2, the bettor will win $3 off the wager. As you can see, the payouts are in the fractional odds, you just need to know which way they go based on if they represent a value greater than or less than one.

Decimals

Decimal odds are slightly more confusing than most other types of odds. In fact, we prefer not to use them when we bet but that is just our preference. Regardless, we are going to give you a little insight into these lines, as we want to give you insight about all of the common types of odds available.

If you look into these odds, you will definitely come out a little bit confused unless you are from Europe where these odds are commonly used than American or Fractional odds. The multiplication game is not as straight forward with decimal odds. Let’s take a look at another example:

Odds To Be Next President:

  • Candidate A: 1.50
  • Candidate B: 2.45

When looking at decimal based odds, the same thing applies to them as all the other forms of odds when trying to determine the favorite… which ever is the lowest number is favored. In the example above, the favored candidate is Candidate A at 1.50 however Candidate B is only a little bit behind at 2.45

Figuring out the payouts is where decimal odds can get tricky, but you’ll soon learn a little trick that will make these very easy to understand.

The best way to start off look at these odds are to consider them to be monetary amounts based on what you will win if you wager $1 or one euro, one pound, etc… which includes the original wager. Be sure to keep that in mind when looking at the other odds types.

If Candidate A wins the election, every $1 wagered will win $.50 plus the original $1 wagered which equals $1.50 or 1.50 odds.

Candidate B: every $1 wagered earns $1.45 which equals $2.45 or 2.45 odds.

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