Baseball season is over, election season is finished and neither basketball nor hockey have really kicked it into high gear. So it’s all football for this weekend, at least on this side of the world. Whether for entertainment or betting the NFL takes us to week 10 and this is where we will focus for now.
Favorites were extremely successful in Week 9, going 7-4-1 against the spread. That could change in Week 10 of the 2016 NFL season, however, when many of the games are expected to be much more competitive.
Two teams are favored by double-digits, but most of the contests on the schedule have small betting lines. Only four contests feature a point spread of more than three points, and five teams that have at least five wins are underdogs.
Below are picks against the spread for games in Week 10, as well as updated betting odds.
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Cleveland Browns (+10) at Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens should defeat the winless Browns, but Cleveland has a good chance to keep this game within single digits. Cleveland usually plays Baltimore close, having covered the spread against the Ravens in five of their last six visits to Baltimore. The Browns only lost to the Ravens by five points after taking an early 20-0 lead in Week 2, and Baltimore’s offense makes it difficult for them to blow anyone out. None of the Ravens’ four victories have come by more than seven points.
Houston Texans (-1.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars
The Browns might be the only team in the AFC that’s worse than the Jaguars. Jacksonville is 0-4 against teams that are .500 or better, and Houston provides them with a difficult matchup. Blake Bortles ranks 27th in passer rating, and he should have a lot of trouble against the Texans’ No. 1 ranked pass defense.
Kansas City Chiefs (+3) at Carolina Panthers
The Panthers might not make the playoffs because of their slow start, but they are still among the most talented NFC teams. The Chiefs aren’t nearly as good on the road as they are at home, having suffered both of their losses away from Kansas City. Carolina is finally getting pressure on the quarterback, totaling 12 sacks in two weeks, and it could be a long afternoon for Alex Smith.
Denver Broncos (+2) at New Orleans Saints
The Broncos’ offensive struggles have hurt them when facing top offensive teams, and the same could happen in New Orleans. Atlanta and Oakland rank first and second in total yards, respectively, and both have victories over Denver. The Saints are third in total yards, and their offense will be difficult to stop at the Superdome. New Orleans has totaled 361 rushing yards in the last two games, and the Saints could take advantage of Denver’s weak run defense.
Los Angeles Rams (+2) at New York Jets
The Jets have lost six games in large part because of their porous pass defense, but the Rams have a quarterback that probably won’t be able to take advantage of New York’s defense. Case Keenum has posted a passer rating of 76.0 or less in three of his last four games, and it could be more of the same on Sunday.
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