Category Archives: Sports

MLB Betting Action Mariners – Angels

MLB Betting Action Mariners - Angels
The Mariners matched their longest win streak of the season at six consecutive games Monday night with an 8-1 victory over the Los Angeles Angels.

Maybe you’ve forgotten about them because, yes, it’s football season but you may want to re-consider as they play again on Wednesday. The Mariners have been the highest scoring team in September, scoring 79 runs in 11 games.

During this six-game win streak, the starters are 5-0 with a 1.79 ERA with 20 strikeouts in 35 2/3 innings pitched. They haven’t allowed more than three runs in any of those starts, including two or fewer in the last four outings.

Robinson Cano hit his 33rd homer of the season, which ties a career high. He also hit 33 homers in 2012 with the Yankees. It came on the first pitch of the at-bat, giving him 11 first-pitch homers this season. He’s hitting .346 (37-for-107) over his last 27 games. Cano admitted he forgot the number of outs in the third inning when fired the ball with three outs to first base, trying to turn a double play on Mike Trout and stunning Dae-Ho Lee, who caught the ball.

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The Angels will get a visit from Seattle on Tuesday, with the home side looking to send the visitors to the showers with a loss.

Taijuan Walker, with a record of 5-10 on the season, gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, while the Los Angeles Angels trot Alex Meyer to the mound in this one. He is 0-2 so far in 2016.

With the recent results and the current situation, moneyline favors Seattle Mariners in MLB battle with LA Angels.

This game matches up the No. 10 (Los Angeles Angels) and the No. 21 (Seattle Mariners) teams, according to our current MLB Power Rankings.

At the plate, Los Angeles owns the No. 13 ranking for hits at 8.85 per game. By contrast, the Seattle Mariners are rated No. 9 in the same category at 8.96 per game.

Comparing defensive stats, Seattle owns the No. 17-rated road mark, allowing 4.64 runs per game on the highway. Los Angeles, on the other hand, rates No. 22 in scoring at home.

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Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

The total has gone OVER in 10 of Seattle’s last 14 games

Seattle is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road

LA Angels is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games

LA Angels is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

LA Angels is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels’s last 6 games

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Handicapping College Football

Handicapping College Football

Power ratings and quality perceptions maintain a large influence on college football markets. For this reason you can find meaningful edges if you dig a little deeper to study the strengths and weaknesses of offenses and defenses.

In college football is pretty common to find games that are priced within a field goal or a TD where one team actually has a clear matchup advantage that they’re likely to exploit on the way to a comfortable victory. If you focus on the “chess” of football rather than general perceptions, you’ll be able to find and exploit these opportunities.

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As the first step you must focus on each team’s offense. Look for things such as

What are they good at? What do they emphasize? Are their skill sets so dynamic and varied that they can get the job done in a variety of ways?

To answer these questions simply utilize statistics from last season as well the performance under the current coach, while considering this year’s skill set.

A team that passed a lot last year with a superstar quarterback may cut way back on that approach if he graduated. A team that was led by a superstar running back may be forced to pass more often this year if that stud has moved on to the NFL.

Whether you’re handicapping your favorite conference, or the full college football betting slate, you must make a best estimate of how each team will try to move the ball during the season, and how successful they’re likely to be with that approach.

Defensive Fundamentals

Now you’re ready to look at defense. Be sure you have last year’s stats handy for yards-per-carry and yards-per-game rushing yards allowed, and yards-per-pass and yards-per-game allowed passing. Then, make adjustments for returning starters or any assistant coaching changes that could influence this year’s performances. You want to be able to state fairly confidently that “this team will be able to stop the run this year,” or “this team will get blown off the point of attack.” You’ll also want to know who will be relatively helpless on pass defense against teams who know how to throw.

Turnover Expectations

Besides the basic characteristics of dimensionality, you should also develop expectations for the turnover department. There are some handicappers who insist that turnovers are random, but above all know that “turnover luck” will even out over the long haul. There’s indeed a lot of randomness involved in the play-by-play dynamics of football, but:

Make an evaluation for each offense regarding how turnover prone they’re likely to be. You won’t nail them all, but common sense will have you in the right much more often than not.

Regarding a defense’s ability to force turnovers, look at recent numbers under the current coaching regime, particularly if the defensive coordinator has been there a long time. Some defenses are so conservative that their forced turnover counts are low. Others take an NFL mindset and are constantly trying to dislodge the football.

Don’t be one of those bettors who whines “turnovers are killing me” because they keep betting on high risk teams who are likely to lose the ball at least three times in challenging environments. It’s not “bad luck” if you picked a sloppy team on the road against an aggressive defense. Make the most of NCAA, sign up now WagerWeb.ag

College Football Betting Tips

Tips for Betting on College Football

So you may have heard people saying that betting college football is way easier than wagering on the NFL. So you look up the schedule of college games and you find that there are at least 50 every week. How can you learn about all those teams and games? It may seem overwhelming, here we provide you simple tips to follow when betting on college football.

Trying to catch up with all 50 or so games is indeed unrealistic, simply choose a conference or two to follow, start with local teams, information is plentiful and you can learn a great deal. Keep it simple, study all you can about the teams in a particular conference and turn yourself into a wise guy knowing 20 to 28 teams. sportsbooks offer lots of choices because they understand only a select few can be 100 percent prepared.

Understand that you will lose sometimes, yes it hurts, especially if you did your homework doing your research in advance. The first thought is “I really suck at this”. Instead of thinking negatively, realize there are still 13 weeks in the regular season and a wheel barrel full of bowl games.

Focus on going 3-2 each of the next four weeks and if you do, that is a 12-12 record and you are almost back to even (after paying the juice on losses) with the rest of the season to go.

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It is guaranteed you will lose against the spread in the most painful of ways in the last seconds. It hurts like hell and that’s fine, just make sure to focus the next day on coming games and don’t let losses linger.

While dreaming of winning all kinds of money stirs the heart, the last thing anyone needs is to keep going to the ATM machine to pay off betting losses over and above normal means. Set a bankroll amount and stick to it by dividing it over the entire season ($1,400 divided by 14 weeks = $100 a week). That way you can enjoy wagering all season, knowing you have the money set aside.

It happens every year, bettors have winning records after paying the juice and still lose money. How can that happen? In order to prevent this from happening to you, do what is known as – flat betting – which is the discipline of wagering the same amount on each of your college football picks. This ensures if you have a winning record against the spread, you will have a profit to show for your efforts.

Ask a few people you know who bet and ask them what they read. Find out who the industry leaders are and try to watch, hear or read what they have to say. While network TV people might know about teams, they are not going to realistically know if Ohio State can cover 25-point favorites roll in September with an inexperienced squad.

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NFL Football Betting Trends

NFL Football Betting Trends

It’s no news that NFL is the largest sport in the US, not just for sports fans but also for sports bettors. The more popular a sport is with the ‘average Joe’, the better it is for the player looking to bet against the public.

There are several ways to use NFL football betting trends to take a contrarian position wagering on football action. You need to determine how much action is coming in on point spread, money line and totals wagers. Then, learn who the ‘public’ is backing on a game and go the other way.

Situational NFL betting trends are also useful for the contrarian NFL handicapper. It’s a well-known fact that the ‘public’ likes to bet on the best teams. While this might not sound like a bad idea, the point spread is often set so that bettors have to ‘pay a premium’ in terms of line value to back the top teams. Conversely, less desirable teams are often undervalued to make them a more attractive betting proposition.

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One effective strategy is to find situations where losing teams have a winning point spread record. Some teams play better than you’d expect when stepping up in class against elite level franchises. Mediocre teams will often ‘take out their frustrations’ on weaker teams.

Technical trends are similar to situational trends in many ways with an expanded application. For example, a technical betting trend might measure the performance of teams with a certain winning percentage in a specific scheduling spot instead of the performance of an individual team. The thinking is that this application helps to minimize ‘variance’ inherent in a small sample size. The trick with this type of trend is in the ‘common thread’ on which to base the comparison. Many sports betting experts will split teams into groups such as ‘A’ ‘B’ and ‘C’ teams using criteria such as power ratings or winning percentage.

Some handicappers find informational value in not only evaluating the teams and matchup but in an analysis of how other bettors are wagering on a specific event. Some players try to ‘follow the sharp money’ or ‘follow the steam’ and bet the same way as the majority. Contrarian players will do the opposite and ‘go against the public’ by backing the side getting less action. Reading betting data trends and line movements is an acquired skill but one that can be very valuable for sports bettors of all levels.

Betting trend data is most effective when used as a ‘starting point’ for analysis. When you come across a trend that indicates a particular situational tendency, for example, a team that plays poorly at home don’t bet it blindly. Instead, do some research to figure out why that is. Many times it’ll be a coincidence or a result of a small sample size. The power of a trend comes when you understand the causality of a trend -knowing the reasons why a team performs a certain way in a specific situation. Sign up now wagerweb.ag/

College Football – Betting on Totals

College Football - Betting on Totals

The next two or three weeks are the toughest weeks of the college football season to bet, as we haven’t determined outliers or consistent trends for either offenses or defenses. A good way to participate is betting on totals.

Just like the NFL, college football’s most popular wager is the spread bet. The spread, or line, for college football is generally released days in advance of the game but just as popular it is to bet on over/unders which happens to be one of the simplest type of football bets you can make. A sportsbook takes a particular game and predicts what the total score of both teams will be. Then you, as a bettor, can now bet whether that score will be over or under the predicted number. If it is higher than the posted number, then ‘over’ wins. If it is lower than that predicted number, then ‘under’ wins.

Generally speaking in football betting, totals are one the easiest markets to beat. This is because much like football prop wagers a lot additional factors are involved. You see almost every handicapper starts with a simple system that “uses points” for and “points allowed” weighed against league averages for both teams to come up with a number and then starts making adjustments. The adjustments are however heavily researched and also subjective. For example if you’re seeing Team A should beat Team B by 13.5 points this might be a game where the total needs be inflated, if you also notices the Team A rarely let up once having a lead, and tend to play a lot of prevent defense at the end of the game.

Other adjustments that can be made relate to weather; an important factor is wind. Strong wind can make it harder for players to run and score touchdowns. It will not make a job of defenders much harder though as they typically do not have to run as much, but it will for the quarterback’s throw If anything. Thus, strong winds might help to lower the total scores of the teams. On the other hand, snow and rain will not affect the score as much. It might slow down offensive players, but it will also affect defensive players. Both types of players can slip and make mistakes in those weather conditions. Thus, it will not be as predictable when it comes to rain and snow.

From here what you should know is that a lot of amateur bettors tend to bet on the ‘over’. They typically expect and hope for an interesting game with a lot of points. As a result, even though betting markets are efficient, you’ll often find recreational sportsbooks shading the line such a way that the under becomes the much better bet.

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Sports Betting Trends

Sports Betting Trends

Betting trends are one of the first things to consider for a healthy sports betting strategy. There’s an old sports betting saying that ‘the trend is your friend’ -but that’s only the case if you understand what trends represent and how to apply them to your analysis.

Betting trends represent the volume of wagers placed at a sportsbook, on one team versus another. Public betting trends are often referred to as betting percentages. Think of it as a direct link to what’s happening on the sportsbook side.

Many sports bettors make the mistake of finding a trend that indicates a positive or negative situation for a particular team and betting accordingly. If you’re using trends in this manner, you might as well just flip a coin. Trends can be an important handicapping tool, but they can only supplement a comprehensive approach to matchup analysis -not replace it.

While every sport has their own unique set of metrics and specific betting trends, there are some common themes that are similar from one sport to another. The most common type of betting trend that you’ll hear discussed by betting experts is situational trends. As the name suggests, these trends reflect how certain teams perform in different situations. Among the most common situational trends are those that measure how teams perform at home or on the road. Other situational trends might measure a team’s performance against certain opponents or when playing in the second game of a back to back scheduling spot.

Monitoring public betting trends data is one of the most vital betting tools used by professional handicappers to find value within the sports betting marketplace. It allows you to go behind the lines and see what’s really causing the line to move. Instead of just knowing the line opened at Texas -7 and moved to Texas -8, you’ll know that 88% of the Public is betting on Texas -7 which caused the sportsbook to move the line to -8. You’ll have a clear understanding of what’s causing a line to move and which team has more value.

Betting trends can also be used to pinpoint large money drops. Simply look for line movement that contradicts the betting trends, this is known as reverse line movement. We offer innovative sports betting systems that utilize our real time odds and betting trends to alert you to profitable plays. You’ll receive an email or text message alert whenever a line moves against the public betting trends.

For example if 90% of the public is betting on Miami -3 to win, but the line moves to Miami -2, you’ll know Sharp Money came in on the other side. You would immediately look to bet Miami +3 at a slow moving sportsbook.

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Hockey Betting Lines

Hockey Betting Lines

With the world cup of hockey the eyes of sports bettors turn to alternative betting possibilities, not only do you get more opportunities to engross your bankroll but you can explore on the strategy behind hockey betting lines while you have fun watching a very exciting sport.

The most popular way to bet on your favorite hockey team is moneyline betting and it replaces a point spread because the scores are low. Your team has to win the game, not win by a certain number of goals. In NHL odds, negative and positive values are attached to favorites (-180) and underdogs (+160). Think of it as 100 sitting in the middle of these two values.

The same principles and same math apply with moneyline betting on the hockey odds board. The Boston Bruins may be -130 favorites against the Buffalo Sabres, who may be listed as +110 underdogs. You risk $130 to win $100 on the favored Bruins and wager $100 to win $110 on the underdog Sabres.

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Puck Line (Canadian Line)

The puck line is a hybrid form of NHL betting that merges the moneyline and a point spread. It means a team has to win by two or more goals to win the wager, much like a runline in baseball. Negative values such as -1.5 indicate that team is favored by 1.5 goals. Positive values like +1.5 indicate that team is the underdog by 1.5 goals.

NHL action sees many 3-2 and 4-3 games and shootouts in hockey, this can be profitable. You may also see a -135 or +180 value associated with the puck line. This is the moneyline component and shows how much you need to risk and how much you will profit.

For example, if a team is -1.5, +180 and you wagered $100, that means you would profit $180 (+180) if the team wins by two goals or more. On the other side of the NHL betting window, for a team that is +1.5, -135, you would have to risk $135 (-135) to back the team. If they win the game or only lose by just one goal, you have a winning wager of $100.

Total Over/Under

Commonly known as over-under odds, this is a number set by bookies (usually 5 or 5.5 in hockey) and bettors must decide if the total number of goals scored in the game by both teams combined is higher or lower. So when you see 5.5, you are hoping for 6 or more goals if you bet over and hoping for 5 or less if you bet under.

Where you see a moneyline value linked to the 5.5, this is the risk-reward amounts for selecting the over or the under. Example: 5.5, u-110 means the total is 5.5 goals and you have to risk $110 (-110) in order bet under the total. If the final score is 2-1, the total is 3 and you profit $100. You will also sees values for the over such as 5.5, o+105. In this case, you profit $105 by risking $100 if the game produces 6 or more total goals.

Futures

Who will win the World Cup, Who will win the Stanley Cup next season? You can bet on it today and every other day by wagering on NHL futures. Bookies set and move lines during the season, depending on the relative strength of teams. Sign up now WagerWeb.ag

Bookmaker’s Advantage – Singles/Multiples

Bookmaker’s Advantage – Singles/Multiples

There are several basic concepts to be understood in the world of sports betting whether you are looking in sports betting for a new way of entertainment or a profitable way of living, you will always contributing to make a profit for the bookmaker. As any other product that has added value from which the company has a win the bookmakers has its own, too.

The most common situation varies about 7-13% (10% is taken for a middle value), which means that for every set 100$, the bookmaker wins 10$.

Even before we have made a bet, the bookmakers are already with “advantage”. The reasons are various but the main one is the margin rates. While it is virtually impossible to reduce bookmaker’s vig it seems that some bettors go the other way around and unintentionally make bookie’s life actually easier.

Ran by desire to get rich fast, they improve bookmaker’s advantage by playing big strains of multiple bets. Using multiple bets increases your risk couple of times. The risk here can be considered as usual probability, if both games have possibility to be “guessed” 50 percent, than their combination does not give 25 percent possibility. The risk on multiple bets rises exponentially. The risk rises much more and the possibility ‘falls’ so the bookmakers has an opportunity to add more margin than the usual one by multiple (parlay) bets. It is not accidently that some bookmakers give bonuses and greater win on big bets and even double it if their ‘clients’ use double, triple or quad etc. bets

Myths about multiple bets

Even from mathematical point of view multiple seems to be, at first glance, more profitable. Below is the graph of potential profits (horizontal Y axis) for specific success rates (asix x).

For example (100 bets, average odds 2.00):

–           Bettor with 60% hit rate hits 60% of Singles what gives him +20 units of profit because of average odds of his Single bet 2.00

–           Bettor with 60% hit rate hits 36% of Doubles what gives him +44 units of profit because of average odds of his Double bet 4.00

–           Bettor with 60% hit rate hits 21% of Trebles (because he must hit 60% * 60% * 60% outcome) what gives him +72.8 units of profit because of average odds of his Triple bet 8.00

We can make two points here:

–           For positive YIELD – the more picks on one bet, the bigger profitability

–           For negative YIELD (hit rate lower than 50%) – the more picks on one bet, the smaller profitability.

The main objective of writing these articles is help you comprehend your bets more like investments. This approach could sounds fondly to many people but this is the most secure and disseminated one for everyone who takes this kind of things more seriously.

At the end of the day the decision is yours, the most important thing is to be in a place where you feel comfortable with the options that you have, when you play at WagerWeb, you get action on the biggest selection of sporting leagues in the market.

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Sports Betting Sites – Comparing Lines

Sports Betting Sites - Comparing Lines

Sports betting is the activity of predicting sports results and placing a wager on the outcome. If you’re a true beginner to the world of sports betting, you may not understand just how important it is to look around the different sports betting sites for us players that there are to compare lines at each one of them before deciding where to place your bets.

If you’ve found a sportsbook you like, then why should you care if they happen to set their line at -115 for a play when another sportsbook is setting it at -110 for the same play? If you’re going to compare lines, then you want the differences to be big as possible. This may seem logical however profits and losses come down to the smallest of margins in sports betting. While the difference between getting a team at -110 and -105 may seem negligible to the untrained eye, consider this; if you bet 1000 games at -110, you will need to win 524 games to break even. If you bet 1000 games at -105, you will need to win only 513 games to break even.

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So those seemingly negligible differences can still pay off over time. Let’s say you’re on the lower end of the spectrum in terms of how often you win, maybe winning about 53% of your plays. Now let’s say that every time you bet, you’re betting $115 on those -115 lines. Let’s also say that you’re being relatively conservative and only making one play every day. Using the math we gave you for converting to decimal lines, you’re working with a decimal line of approximately 1.87, and subtracting the 1 tells you that you’re making about 87 cents in terms of profits over what you invested. With your 53% win rate, that amounts to around $1590 in profits per month.

Now, use those same numbers, but assume you’re still betting $115 at that lower line of -110 (which is a decimal line of about 1.91, or about 91 cents in extra profits per dollar).Your monthly profits are now raised to about $1662.27, slightly more than $70 per month than in the above example. That may not seem like a huge deal, but bear in mind that this difference is if you were only making one play a day with a 53% win rate. If you’re using a handicapping consulting service with a greater success rate, and making multiple plays per day, then you’re going to make even more per month, not to mention per year.

This is why you benefit from comparing lines at the different sportsbooks. You should be shopping around and opening accounts with different sportsbooks so that you can make the most of your profits from sports betting.

When you look at it that way, there’s virtually no excuse not to do your research with as many sports betting sites for us players, once you have found the right place remember that if you still don’t like the line you can buy or sell up to 5 points! Sign up now at WagerWeb.com

Betting on World Cup

Betting on World Cup

The 2016 World Cup of Hockey will be the third edition of the National Hockey League (NHL)-sanctioned competition, 12 years after the second World Cup of Hockey in 2004. The event starts in just a little over a week, but you don’t have to wait any longer for betting on world cup, join WagerWeb.ag and get action on the biggest selection of sporting leagues in the market.

There has been some discussion as to possibilities of generating enough interest to maintain it sustainable, especially because of the existing Olympic games which has been said, could be replaced by the world cup.

While fan interest is incredibly important to the future of the NHL’s participation in the Olympics, the players’ opinion is going to matter a lot, too. One of the biggest obstacles for the league to cease participation in the Olympics is that the vast majority of players eligible still want to go.

So will this tournament scratch the itch of veteran players enough to get them to relent on their Olympic desires? It’s hard to see that happening, especially when a number of proud hockey nations are not included. That said, this gives the league a chance to show players there are alternatives to disrupting the season.

The tournament favorite

Canada is the obvious favorite, even after losing important players to injury. It’s the deepest team up front, with a healthy Carey Price in net and if the defense isn’t the best in the tournament, it’s a close second.

There’s not going to be as much pressure on this team as there was at the Vancouver Olympics in 2010, but there’s still pressure. Canada has a core of players that has won multiple Olympic gold medals and 10 prior Stanley Cup champions. It’s a veteran group with strength down the middle with an abundance of elite centers.

This tournament needs to be compelling to attract an audience. If Canada rolls through the tournament, it might be compelling to the Canadian TV audience, but not much anywhere else. Goliath without a David just doesn’t work, but the field is going to be hard pressed to take the title away from the Canadians in Toronto.

Sweden looks to have the best chance of anyone. The defense is probably the deepest in the tournament and Henrik Lundqvist can steal games. Russia is loaded up front, but very thin on the back end. Finland is always scrappy, but it could have a hard time scoring and the goaltenders were suspect last NHL season. Team North America looks poised to scare some teams, but it would be hard to see the youngsters challenging Canada’s veteran-laden club. It’s hard to see either the Czech Republic or Team Europe mounting much of an offensive either and finally there’s little doubt that the U.S. roster was built for the specific purpose of beating Canada.

Whether you prefer the straight ups or you like playing with advantages like the puck line, prefer to predict totals or are a little more sophisticated predicting futures, betting on world cup is an opportunity that you can’t miss.

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